The polar vortex and the media hype of the cold weather

Yes, it was cold. It was very cold. But the media and many in the forecasting profession made what was a perfectly normal weather event into a major story of extreme and rarely seen cold. The Baltimore Sun said “Baltimore’s coldest day in nearly two decades.” And the Washington Post said “Polar vortex delivering D.C.’s […]

Accuweather’s 45 day forcasts – How do we evaluate them?

Last August Accuweather extended their long range forecasts from the previous 30 days out to 45 days. They are now claiming they can predict the weather a month and half into the future with the degree of accuracy that they are worthy of publication. I had serious doubts as to just how good those forecasts […]

Meaningless numbers on inheritance

Averages many times do not provide information. But when comparing the Untied States to the world by looking at only 15 counties I have to wonder what the authors of the piece posted at CNN titled “Average American inheritance: $177,000” with the byline “The United States is lagging behind other parts of the world when […]

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